Next five years will be exceptionally hot, study warns

15 Août, 2018, 10:47 | Auteur: Therese Cote
  • A dramatic sunrise looking east towards the mining town of Barberton from the hill village and escarpment of Kaapsehoop in Mpumalanga Province South Africa

While many have appreciated the scorching weather across the British Isles over the past few months, it has left the United Kingdom facing a number of severe issues.

The heatwave has also added pressure to the NHS, with almost "3,000 incidents of hospitals overheating" according to shadow health secretary, Jon Ashworth.

Both average ground and sea surface temperatures could be abnormally high, which may in turn increase the likelihood of tropical storms.

In addition to predicting that the planet's overall temperature will likely be "anomalously warm" over the next five years, the scientists also found that Earth's oceans could see "dramatic" temperature rises as well due to possible extreme heat events.

It involves gathering information from previous changes in a system's state to calculate the probabilistic chances of transitions to future new states.

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A retrospective test of the method accurately predicted the global warming pause between 1998 and 2013.

"For 2018 to 2022, the probabilistic forecast indicates a warmer than normal period, with respect to the forced trend (of global warming)".

"This will temporarily reinforce the long-term global warming trend".

"The coming warm period is associated with an increased likelihood of intense to extreme temperatures", the researchers add.

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