Chance for tropical development in the Gulf up to 70 percent

14 Septembre, 2018, 09:19 | Auteur: Anatole Charbonneau
  • Tropical Development in the Gulf of Mexico Possible Later this Week

"Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected across portions of northeastern Mexico, Texas, and Louisiana late this week", stated the NHC early Thursday.

Gov. Greg Abbott has ordered the Texas State Operations Center to boost its readiness level as a potential tropical storm system moves into the Gulf on a track toward the Texas coast.

According to the NWS, there's now a 60 percent chance for the disturbance in the Gulf to develop into a tropical cyclone affecting our area this Friday through Sunday. This means the threat of tropical organization from the system in the Gulf of Mexico has lessened, but we're still likely going to see impacts from this disturbance locally.

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This weak area of low pressure has a 50 percent chance of developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm over the next two days, and a 70 percent chance of development over the next five days.

If Invest 95L becomes a tropical storm or hurricane, the next name on the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane names list is Tropical Storm Joyce or Hurricane Joyce. This isn't to say it couldn't be a tropical storm down the road, but given the latest forecast modeling, that's what looks most likely at this point in time.

Although disorganized now, this system will be moving into an area favorable for development.

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