Tropical Storm Michael, Heading North, Could Become Category 2 Hurricane

11 Octobre, 2018, 03:15 | Auteur: Anatole Charbonneau
  • Infrared satellite loop with lightning flashes overlaid

That's why it's important to stay up to speed on forecast updates in the coming days.

Garcia said the tropical storm has the potential to produce gusty winds, heavy rain and flooding in South Florida, as well as possible isolated tornadoes through mid-week.

"Nearly all of the intensity models bring the cyclone to hurricane strength over the Gulf of Mexico in 2 to 3 days", the 10 a.m. Sundayforecast discussion by the National Hurricane Center said.

Scott says: "This storm will be life-threatening and extremely risky".

Masson says at this time, people living in those areas only have about 48 hours to pack up and leave to avoid being hit by Michael. But it rapidly intensified, and its top winds clocked in at 60 miles per hour (95 kph) by late Sunday evening.

There is a tropical storm watch for the coast of Mexico from Tulum to Cabo Catoche, where tropical storm conditions are possible Sunday and Monday. As the storm turns northeast near the Florida panhandle, the winds will shift southwest. Outer bands from the storm are also expected to bring roughly 100 mm of rain to the Florida Keys through Tuesday.

When the storm moves ashore, it will probably be a Category 1 storm, with winds between 74-95 miles per hour, said Frank Strait, senior meteorologist for the private forecasting firm AccuWeather. Michael is forecasted to become a major hurricane by Tuesday or Tuesday night.

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Michael is forecast to contribute to higher seas, rough surf and rip currents locally by Monday, then increased chances for rainier conditions overall across eastern Central Florida Tuesday through Thursday, the weather Service said. Storm surge between Indian Pass and Crystal River could reach seven to 11 feet.

In a news conference Sunday evening in Tallahassee, Florida Gov. Rick Scott warned that the storm could have far-reaching effects, regardless of where it lands.

The eye is expected to move inland over the Florida panhandle or Florida Big Bend area on Wednesday.

According to the latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Depression 14 is expected to strengthen into a hurricane before making landfall in the western Florida Panhandle on Wednesday.

According to the 5 a.m. advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Michael was close to becoming a hurricane. Hurricane force winds extend 45 miles outside the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outwards 175 miles.

The storm was about 90 miles (145 kilometers) south of Cozumel, Mexico by mid-day Sunday.

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