Late season tropical wave strengthening near Lesser Antilles

12 Novembre, 2018, 22:39 | Auteur: Therese Cote
  • USVI In Path Of New Weather System; Tropical Cyclone Development Possible By Midweek -

Forecasters are monitoring a "vigorous tropical wave" near the Leeward Islands that has a 50-50 chance of developing into a tropical depression or Tropical Storm Patty later this week.

As we near the end of the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season the Weather Authority and the National Hurricane Center are tracking a strengthening complex of storms approaching the Caribbean Islands this week.

An area of disturbed weather, known as a tropical wave, is churning toward the Lesser Antilles and being monitored to potentially become the next organized system in the Atlantic Basin.

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As of Monday morning the system has a 90-percent chance of turning into a named storm, the National Hurricane Center forecasts.

If it does strengthen, the storm could then move westward toward Puerto Rico and the Bahamas before turning north. "Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased and become a little more concentrated this morning", the service noted, "and environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression or a tropical storm during the next day or so". Four of those made landfall along the mainland United States, including Alberto, Florence, Gordon and Michael, the third-most-intense hurricane ever to strike the United States. These can lead to the formation of a tropical cyclone.

A tropical depression is a tropical cyclone that has maximum sustained surface winds (one-minute average) of 38 miles per hour (33 knots) or less.

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