Trump, Biden neck and neck in 2020 presidential race: new poll
30 Mars, 2020, 17:54 | Auteur: Yves Courtet
If the general election were to happen today between Biden and Trump, the former vice president would win 49 percent of registered voters while the president would win 47 percent, the new ABC News/Washington Post survey found. On health care, Biden enjoys a 10-point advantage, 51 percent to 41 percent.
If Biden were to run with Elizabeth Warren, also a former Democratic candidate and a current MA senator, the win goes up by 2 percentage points to 52 per cent to 42 per cent. Among Biden's supporters, 28% say they're very enthusiastic while 46% are somewhat enthusiastic.
The timing of this poll, taken March 21-24, is encouraging for Biden considering it was conducted during a time when Trump's approval rating skyrocketed in the midst of the coronavirus crisis.
In particular, Trump's handling of the coronavirus pandemic and the economy appears to have resonated well with voters. Biden also trails Trump, 42-50%, when it comes to who voters trust to manage the nation's economy. When voters are asked whom they trust more to confront the coronavirus outbreak, the difference between the two is statistically insignificant.
Another ominous sign for Democrats is that the poll suggests Biden may be a weaker general election candidate than Hillary Clinton was in 2016. And almost twice as many likely Trump voters say they are "very enthusiastic", 55 percent, compared to Biden backers, just 28 percent. In races that are decided by the slimmest of margins, voter enthusiasm is considered a key indicator of which candidate's supporters are likeliest to show up to the polls.
The Washington Post noted that most of the recent failed presidential candidates - Democrat and Republican - saw significantly less enthusiasm in similar early polls ahead of the general elections. "As few as 17% of former Republican presidential nominee and Arizona Sen".
Despite the rapid consolidation around Biden among a broader Democratic electorate, the former vice president suffers from an enthusiasm gap when contrasted with the incumbent president.
The poll surveyed 845 registered voters nationally between March 22-25. Results have a margin of error of 3.5 points.
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