Il ne reste plus que la cinquième journée qui se tiendra samedi 31 octobre: Galles-Ecosse (15h15), Italie-Angleterre (17h45) et France-Irlande (21h05).
Pour cette rencontre en retard de la 4e journée, qui avait été reportée en mars à cause de la pandémie, le contrat était simple pour les Irlandais: l'emporter en inscrivant 4 essais pour porter à 14 leur nombre de points au classement, devant leurs deux rivaux à 13 unités.
En effet, en s'imposant contre les Irlandais, les Tricolores peuvent encore espérer remporter le Tournoi des Six-Nations. S'il n'y a toujours pas de vainqueur, le trophée est attribué à l'équipe qui a marqué le plus d'essais lors du championnat. Si après tout cela un gagnant ne peut toujours pas être décidé alors le championnat est partagé entre les équipes.
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Dans ce scénario, la Quinze de France et la Quinze de la Rose seraient donc à égalité (18 points) et ce serait la différence entre les points marqués et les points récoltés lors de la compétition qui les départagerait. Après quatre matches, l'Angleterre a une moyenne de buts plus intéressante que la France (+15 contre +13). S'ils battent la France avec le bonus, les joueurs d'Andy Farrell finiraient avec 19 points au classement et ne pourraient être rejoints par les Anglais, même si ces derniers font un excellent résultat à Rome.
Enfin, l'Ecosse devra compter sur un miracle pour gagner le Tournoi.
Et si l'Irlande gagne sans bonus et que l'Angleterre prend le bonus, ce sera la différence générale de points qui départagera les deux équipes, les Verts ayant pour l'instant l'avantage: + 38 contre + 15.
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